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In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailAmerican Express has the best credit quality compared to other credit card issuers: CFRA's YokumAlexander Yokum, CFRA Research banking analyst, joins 'Squawk Box' to break down American Express' quarterly earnings results, the state of the consumer, and more.
Persons: Alexander Yokum Organizations: Express, Research
The recent retreat in the stock market has made many worried about a deeper correction. Lingering inflation concerns, rising Treasury yields and a shifting outlook for Federal Reserve interest rate policy prompted a market pullback, with the S & P 500 almost 4% off its 52-week high as of Tuesday. A correction is defined as a 10% decline in one of the major U.S. stock indexes, typically the S & P 500 or Dow Jones Industrial Average, from a recent 52-week high close. .SPX 1Y mountain S & P 500 More to go? The heightened geopolitical risk led U.K. investment bank Liberum Capital to call for oil to surge to $100 and a stock market correction as big as 10%.
Persons: Sam Stovall, it's, Stovall, Jonathan Krinsky, Krinsky, Marko Kolanovic Organizations: Federal Reserve, CFRA Research, Dow Jones Locations: U.S
"What we've seen is deposit pressures escalate more than previously anticipated," said Alexander Yokum, analyst at CFRA Research, who has a neutral view on regional banks. "A lot of these regional banks, they have less deposits, so if they lose deposits, it can really impact their operating results," Yokum said. "So, higher for longer, I think for a lot of regional banks, would be negative." Here's what Wall Street analysts expect from regional banks this season. Other regional banks reporting this week include Fifth Third Bancorp .
Persons: Alexander Yokum, Yokum, Goldman Sachs, Ryan M, Nash, America's Ebrahim H, Poonawala, CFRA's Yokum, Citi's Keith Horowitz, " Horowitz, Huntington Bancshares Huntington Bancshares Organizations: Regional Banking, U.S . Bancorp, New York Community, CFRA Research, JPMorgan Chase, T Bank, PNC, " Bank, America's, U.S . Bancorp U.S . Bancorp, U.S . Bank, Bank of America, Huntington, Comerica KeyCorp, Comerica, Fifth Third Bancorp Locations: U.S, New, Ohio
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMarkets can rally without rate cuts this year, says CFRA's Sam StovallSam Stovall, CFRA Research chief investment strategist, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss if equity markets can rally without rate cuts, what will drive the market's growth, and more.
Persons: CFRA's Sam Stovall Sam Stovall Organizations: CFRA Research
Chipmakers and governments, including the US government, have in recent years invested billions in efforts to diversify chip production, but many experts worry that process is not happening fast enough. TSMC produces an estimated 90% of the world’s most advanced semiconductor chips, which power countless devices people rely on daily. Still, even an hours-long shutdown of certain chip production could take weeks to recover from. The race to diversify chipmakingWednesday’s earthquake will likely only add pressure to efforts underway for years to grow chipmaking capacity outside of Taiwan. Experts say it’s a sign that the diversification of the chip supply chain is not moving quickly enough to account for the risks of remaining concentrated in Taiwan.
Persons: chipmaker, TSMC, ” TSMC, , David Bader, ” Bader, facilites, wasn’t, Joe Unsworth, Foxconn —, Angelo Zino, Joe Biden Organizations: New, New York CNN, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Apple, Qualcomm, Nvidia, AMD, Institute for Data Science, New Jersey Institute of Technology, Barclays, Tech, United Microelectronics Corporation, Micron Locations: New York, Taiwan, chipmaking, China, United, Japan, Germany, United States, Arizona
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWe're going through a 'digestive phase' right now in tech, says CFRA's Sam StovallSam Stovall, CFRA Research chief investment strategist, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, why he believes the S&P 500 is getting increasingly vulnerable to a meaningful sell-off, tech sector performance, the Fed's interest rate outlook, and more.
Persons: CFRA's Sam Stovall Sam Stovall Organizations: CFRA Research
Wall Street could be in for another solid quarter as stocks have embarked on a strong start to the year. Specifically, in the second quarter, the S & P 500 was higher 9 out of 11 times, averaging a 2.7% gain. Significantly, two occurrences of those 10% first-quarter gains Detrick reviewed took place during election years, with the S & P 500 ending higher on the year. In 1976, the S & P 500 went on to register a 1.5% increase in the second quarter, and a 4.6% jump for the rest of the year. The Wall Street firm maintained its year-end S & P 500 target of 5,050, representing a 3.8% slide from Wednesday's close.
Persons: Ryan Detrick, We've, there'd, Detrick, CNBC's, Research's Sam Stovall, Stovall, Piper Sandler, Craig Johnson, Brian Nick, Nick, John Stoltzfus, Ayako Yoshioka, Yoshioka, CFRA's Stovall, FactSet Organizations: Nvidia, VanEck Semiconductor, Dow Jones, Carson Group, Macro, PMI, Manufacturing, ADP, Survey, Services PMI, Weston Holdings, Conagra Brands, Consumer Credit Locations: U.S
The S&P 500 index rose 10.2% during the first three months of the year, its best first-quarter performance since 2019. The S&P 500 on Thursday logged its 22nd record-high close of the year. Companies in the S&P 500 saw earnings grow 4.3% during the fourth quarter of 2023 from the prior year, according to FactSet data. Analysts polled by FactSet expect S&P 500 earnings to grow by more than 10% for all of 2024. About 140,000 cars a day traversed the I-35W bridge that once stood more than 100 feet above the Mighty Mississippi.
Persons: Bell, Bitcoin, What’s, Leslie Thompson, Warren Buffett’s, Zachary Hill, , Elisabeth Buchwald, Samantha Delouya, Ron DeSantis, DeSantis, Disney’s, Bob Chapek, “ Don’t, ” Chapek, ” DeSantis, “ I’m, Read, Francis Scott Key, Alicia Wallace, ” Christopher Phelan, ” Read Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New, New York CNN, Traders, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Investment Research, Dow, Apple, Nvidia, Meta, Microsoft, Spectrum Wealth Management, Companies, FactSet, Research, Horizon Investments, Disney, Central, Republican Gov, Central Florida Tourism, Twin, University of Minnesota, CNN Locations: New York, China, Florida, Central Florida, Central Florida Tourism District, Orlando, Baltimore, Minneapolis, Mississippi, Twin Cities, Mighty Mississippi, Minnesota
The Securities and Exchange Commission's chair, Gary Gensler, recently warned about "AI washing," or companies giving off a false impression that they're using AI so they can amp up investors. And while some companies are simply exaggerating the tech they do legitimately use, others have taken it a step further. Most companies aren't being accused of breaking the law with their AI chatter, but they're definitely posturing around it. An analysis from Goldman Sachs found that 36% of S&P 500 companies mentioned AI in their fourth-quarter earnings calls, a record high. Even the Big Tech companies that are really moving and shaking in AI are on shifty ground at times.
Persons: Gary Gensler, Delphia, Goldman Sachs, Scott Kessler, Elon Musk, Adolf Hitler, it's, ChatGPT, Daron Acemoglu, Sam Altman, Ed Zitron, he's, It's, overselling, Angelo Zino, Microsoft's, Zino, Acemoglu, Emily Stewart Organizations: Securities, Exchange, SEC, Woodstock, Third, MIT, Prosperity, Nvidia, AMD, Broadcom, CFRA Research, Big Tech, Tech, Microsoft, Business Locations: San Jose , California
The Securities and Exchange Commission's chair, Gary Gensler, recently warned about "AI washing," or companies giving off a false impression that they're using AI so they can amp up investors. And while some companies are simply exaggerating the tech they do legitimately use, others have taken it a step further. Most companies aren't being accused of breaking the law with their AI chatter, but they're definitely posturing around it. An analysis from Goldman Sachs found that 36% of S&P 500 companies mentioned AI in their fourth-quarter earnings calls, a record high. Even the Big Tech companies that are really moving and shaking in AI are on shifty ground at times.
Persons: Gary Gensler, Delphia, Goldman Sachs, Scott Kessler, Elon Musk, Adolf Hitler, it's, ChatGPT, Daron Acemoglu, Sam Altman, Ed Zitron, he's, It's, overselling, Angelo Zino, Microsoft's, Zino, Acemoglu, Emily Stewart Organizations: Securities, Exchange, SEC, Woodstock, Third, MIT, Prosperity, Nvidia, AMD, Broadcom, CFRA Research, Big Tech, Tech, Microsoft, Business Locations: San Jose , California
The Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE), operated by Japan Exchange Group Inc. (JPX), in Tokyo, Japan, on Friday, Feb. 16, 2024. Kosuke Okahara/Bloomberg via Getty ImagesAsia-Pacific markets were set to fall Tuesday as the U.S. market took a breather following a rally sparked by optimism over the Federal Reserve's interest rate stance at its latest meeting. "We're coming off of a post-FOMC high," he told CNBC, referring to the U.S. Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee meeting last week. "The market is getting more and more vulnerable to a market decline or a pullback in prices." Investors in Asia also await economic data out of Southeast Asia, including Singapore's manufacturing output and Thailand's trade balance.
Persons: Kosuke Okahara, Sam Stovall Organizations: Tokyo Stock Exchange, Japan Exchange Group Inc, Bloomberg, Getty Images, Federal, CFRA Research, CNBC, U.S, U.S . Federal Locations: Tokyo, Japan, Getty Images Asia, Pacific, U.S, U.S ., Asia, Southeast Asia
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCapEx environment will grow 25% this year, says CFRA's Angelo ZinoAngelo Zino, senior industry analyst at CFRA Research, joins 'Power Lunch' to discuss what's driving spending this year from tech companies, whether there will be sustained growth rates on spending in the future, and more.
Persons: CFRA's Angelo Zino Angelo Zino Organizations: CFRA Research
Apple is getting serious about AI
  + stars: | 2024-03-18 | by ( Samantha Murphy Kelly | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +4 min
It comes as Apple is expected to unveil several new AI features at its developer conference in June. According to a Bloomberg report, Apple is interested in licensing and building Google’s Gemini AI engine, which includes chatbots and other AI tools, into upcoming iPhones and its iOS 18 features. A partnership with Google would catapult Apple into the growing AI arms race. Apple, Google and OpenAI did not respond to a request for comment. Behind the scenes, Apple reportedly has been working its on-device generative AI capabilities and acquiring companies, such as Canadian startup DarwinAI.
Persons: they’ve, , Siri, OpenAI, Tim Cook, we’re, Apple, Angelo Zino, Beata Zawrzel, Wedbush Organizations: CNN, Apple, Google, Bloomberg, Learning Research, CFRA Research, Wedbush Securities, Gemini, Microsoft Locations: Cupertino
Stocks retreated on Friday, closing out a turbulent week as Nvidia 's incredible run took a breather. The broad S&P 500 pulled back by 0.26% this week, while the blue-chip Dow and tech-heavy Nasdaq fell 0.93% and 1.17%, respectively. That decline marked the worst week for the 30-stock Dow since October. The artificial intelligence darling finished down more than 5% in its worst session since late May. Despite that breather, Nvidia shares still finished up more than 6% on the week.
Persons: Stocks, Sam Stovall, We've Organizations: Nvidia, Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial, Dow, CFRA Research
The U.S. Department of Justice has subpoenaed Globe Life Inc. and its subsidiary American Income Life seeking documents related to one of its top life insurance agencies — the Pittsburgh-based Arias Organization. Globe Life executives made no mention of the DOJ probe during a quarterly earnings call on February 8. In October, insurance regulators in Pennsylvania fined American Income Life $130,000 for engaging in deceptive consumer practices. "We do not believe the litigation will be material to Globe Life's overall results or American Income Life's agency operations," he said. Darden told the analysts that "as soon as American Income became aware of" the allegations, AIL hired an outside investigator to look into the matter.
Persons: Arias, Renee Zinsky, Michael Russin, Joel Scarborough, Globe's, Trina Orlando, Cathy Seifert, Seifert, Scarborough, Simon Arias, Natalie Price, AIL, Warren Buffett's Berkshire, James Darden, Darden, Zinsky, Janet Hendrick, Phillips Murrah, Kathryn D, Terry, Liz Rita, Susan Antilla Organizations: U.S . Department of Justice, Inc, Organization, News, Business, BI, CFRA Research, Securities and Exchange Commission, Globe, DOJ, Scarborough, US, Office, Western, Western District of Pennsylvania, Arias Agencies, The, Justice, Warren, Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway, Commission, Department of Justice, AIL, Income, Zinsky, Law Locations: Pittsburgh, Scarborough, Western District, Pennsylvania, Dallas, Globe, Denver, AIL, susan.antilla1@gmail.com
But the tides have shifted in recent months as investors overlook the $2.6 trillion company for rosier AI opportunities. "Everybody's waiting for Apple to come along," said Max Wasserman, co-founder and senior portfolio manager at Miramar Capital. "Great cash flow, great balance sheet, but they're just not demonstrating that they're going to be the new leader in AI." Apple's AI story Last month, Apple pulled the plug on its decade-long autonomous vehicle project in what many on Wall Street viewed as a move to divert resources toward AI prospects. Another way Apple could satisfy the need for AI progress is through a merger or acquisition of a company with large-scale AI capabilities, Meeks said.
Persons: Max Wasserman, they're, Tim Cook, haven't, CFRA Research's Angelo Zino, Wasserman, That's, Paul Meeks, Miramar's Wasserman, Melius Research's Ben Reitzes, Rosenblatt's Barton Crockett, Meeks, hasn't, Michael Bloom Organizations: Apple, Miramar Capital, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Meta, Microsoft, Union, Huawei, Accounting, Portfolio Management, Apple's, Conference Locations: China
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe market is due for some sort of digestion of gains, says CFRA's Sam StovallSam Stovall, CFRA Research chief investment strategist, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, state of the economy, the Fed's interest rate outlook, and more.
Persons: CFRA's Sam Stovall Sam Stovall Organizations: CFRA Research
Seasonally speaking, stocks could be in for a pullback as the calendar turns to March in a presidential election year. In every March since 1950, the S & P 500 historically rises 1.1%, but the same month in presidential election years scores a smaller 0.4% advance on average. Currently, the S & P 500 is trading around the 5,100 level. But Hirsch advised investors to watch S & P 500 support levels closer to 4,800, the prior all-time high, or 4,600, the high from the summer of 2023. That's because Hirsch anticipates the S & P 500 will rise to 5,500 by year end, so any dips may prove a buying opportunity for investors.
Persons: Jeffrey Hirsch, Russell, Hirsch, it's, you've, , Hirsch isn't, Katie Stockton, Sam Stovall, Stovall Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, CFRA Research
Here's a breakdown of how Super Micro got to this point, and where investors and analysts expect it to go. What to know about Super Micro Computer Creating servers isn't a new objective for the California-based company. Other shareholders such as Vendig have opted to take a breather on buying shares until the next earnings call. Those headwinds may not hit until 2025 but could hurt the stock if Super Micro fails to differentiate itself. "Super Micro was in the right place at the right time when generative AI took off, there really wasn't a competitor," he said.
Persons: hasn't, Paul Meeks, Brian Vendig, we've, Shreya Gheewala, Matt Bryson, Sylvia Jablonski, Jablonski, Vendig, Wedbush's Bryson Organizations: Nvidia, Devices, Computer, Management, MJP Wealth, AMD, Intel, Wedbush Securities, Micro, Super Micro, Super Locations: California
New York CNN —Former President Donald Trump is once again warning the stock market is doomed unless voters return him to the White House. He went on to say a loss for him would spark “the largest stock market crash we’ve ever had.”But there is no evidence to support that claim. “This is just an encore presentation of what he said last time,” said Art Hogan, chief market strategist at B. Riley Financial. In fact, the stock market has generated higher annual returns when Democrats are in power. It’s true that Trump’s surprise victory in November 2016 helped spark an impressive rally in the stock market as investors bet on deregulation, tax cuts and infrastructure.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, you’re, ” Trump, , Brian Gardner, “ There’s, ” David Kelly, , Kelly, Joe Biden, Biden, Hogan, ” Sam Stovall, he’s, “ It’s, Dow, ” Kelly, Gardner, James Singer, CNN it’s “, ” Singer, Jerome Powell —, Powell, Jerome Powell, Greg Valliere, Trump’s Organizations: New, New York CNN, CNN, White, Trump, Asset Management, Dow, Riley, CFRA Research, GOP, , Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, JPMorgan, Biden, Republicans, Democrat, Research, , Republican, AGF Investments Locations: New York, Washington, Trump, China
Warren Buffett is about to release his must-read annual letter where he's expected to pay a heartwarming tribute to the late Charlie Munger. The 93-year-old chairman and CEO of Berkshire Hathaway is slated to release his annual shareholder letter Saturday at 8:00 a.m. "Succession is a top-of-mind issue for many Berkshire investors," Cathy Seifert, Berkshire analyst at CFRA Research, said in a note. Buffett's investment lieutenants, Todd Combs and Ted Weschler, have taken on more responsibilities at Berkshire, independently overseeing about $15 billion each. The run up in Berkshire shares may have curbed the amount of buyback activity in the fourth quarter.
Persons: Warren Buffett, Charlie Munger, Berkshire Hathaway, Steve Check, Munger, Buffett, Munger's, it's, Greg Abel, Cathy Seifert, Todd Combs, Ted Weschler, Todd, Ted Organizations: Check Capital Management, Berkshire, CFRA Research, Investors, Berkshire Hathaway, BNSF Railway Locations: Berkshire, Berkshire Hathaway The Omaha, Dairy
Stocks fell Tuesday as Nvidia led a broader tech decline ahead of the chipmaker's earnings report. Shares of Nvidia , which is set to report earnings Wednesday after the bell, fell more than 5%. Although Nvidia is expected to post impressive results, investors have expressed concerns about its sky-high valuation. Walmart shares added more than 4% after the big-box retailer also beat quarterly earnings and revenue expectations, fueled by double-digit growth in the company's global e-commerce sales. Tuesday kicks off the shortened trading week after U.S. markets were closed Monday in observance of the birthday of George Washington.
Persons: Stocks, Sam Stovall, George Washington Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Nvidia, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Microsoft, Meta, CFRA Research, Discover Financial Services, Discover, Walmart, Federal Reserve
Diamondback Energy took one of the last major, privately held operators in the Permian off the table this week when it agreed to buy Endeavor Energy Resources for $26 billion. The deal is poised to catapult Diamondback into the top tier in the Permian, the most prolific oil patch in the U.S. that stretches from western Texas into southeastern New Mexico. The top six companies in the Permian are set to own 62% of the basin's remaining oil reserves, according to Rystad Energy. The stubborn holdouts After the Diamondback-Endeavor and Occidental-CrownRock deals, the only other major privately held producers left in the Permian are Continental Resources and Mewbourne Oil. Conoco could potentially seek to acquire Permian Resources , Civitas , Coterra, Vital Energy or Ovintiv , Bernstein said.
Persons: Matthew Bernstein, Bernstein, Hess, Andy Lipow, Neal Dingmann, Mewbourne, Dingmann, Ovintiv, Enerplus, Bob Yawger, Yawger, weren't, Ryan Lance, Lance, Conoco, EOG Organizations: Diamondback Energy, Endeavor Energy Resources, Diamondback, Exxon Mobil, Chevron, Rystad Energy, Truist Securities, CRFA Research, Endeavor, CNBC, Exxon, Natural Resources, Occidental, Lipow Oil Associates, Resources, Mewbourne, Continental, Publicly, Civitas, Coterra, Vital Energy, Devon Energy, Marathon Oil, Bloomberg News, Marathon, Reuters, CFRA, ConocoPhillips, Mizuho Locations: U.S, Texas, New Mexico, Guyana, Devon, Bakken, North Dakota, Occidental, Mizuho Americas, Marathon
New York CNN —The S&P 500 closed above the 5,000 level on Friday for the first time as bullish sentiment spreads across Wall Street and investors cheered fresh data showing progress on inflation. The S&P 500 briefly topped 5,000 for the first time intraday on Thursday. It took almost 41 years for the S&P 500 to reach its first major milestone of 1,000, which it hit on February 2, 1998, according to Howard Silverblatt, senior index analyst at S&P Dow Jones Indices. When the S&P 500 sets a new high in January, found Sam Stovall at CFRA Research, it reaches new highs in February about 75% of the time. The S&P 500 is up about 5.4% so far this year.
Persons: Howard Silverblatt, Dow, Sam Stovall, , Scott Wren Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, CFRA Research, Fed, Big Tech, Nvidia, Microsoft, Meta, Wells Fargo Investment Institute Locations: New York, Wells Fargo
How markets perform after the first Fed rate cut may be more complicated this time than investors expect. The S & P 500 rose just 3.5% in 2007 before collapsing 38% in 2008. A year after the Fed cut rates in 2019, the Covid-19 pandemic weighed on markets. How stocks perform will be especially important as Wall Street assesses when the central bank will cut rates. Markets are currently pricing in a 46% likelihood the Fed will cut rates by a quarter percentage point at its March meeting.
Persons: Ned Davis, Ed Clissold, Sam Stovall, Bear Stearns, Lehman, Stovall Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, Dow Jones, Ned Davis Research, Dow, Ned, CFRA Research, Storm, Lehman Brothers Locations: U.S, Iraq, Kuwait
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